Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions affecting key players
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:48:42 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
30%
ORYN Consensus
30%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 26-32
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 27, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a 29.50% probability that the Croatia vs. Ghana match on June 27, 2026, will end in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Historical data and current form suggest a balanced but slightly tilted outcome toward non-draw scenarios.
Croatia’s strong defensive record and Ghana’s recent attacking improvements could create a tactical stalemate, increasing the likelihood of a draw. If both teams prioritize defensive stability, the match may lack clear goal-scoring opportunities, favoring a 0-0 or 1-1 result.
Croatia’s historical dominance in World Cup qualifiers and Ghana’s inconsistency in tight matches reduce the draw probability. If either team secures an early lead, the other may push aggressively for a win, minimizing the chance of a draw.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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