Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unforeseen player absences or tactical changes by either team
AI updated 6/28/2026, 9:30:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
39%
ORYN Consensus
39%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,281,069
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 36-42
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Germany score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Germany score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Germany's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market suggests a 38.5% probability that Germany will score 3 or more goals against Paraguay in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match. The outcome hinges solely on Germany's scoring, excluding extra time or penalties.
Germany's strong attacking lineup, historical dominance in World Cup matches, and Paraguay's defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of Germany scoring 3+ goals. Recent form and head-to-head statistics also favor Germany's offensive potential.
Paraguay's disciplined defensive structure and counter-attacking prowess could suppress Germany's scoring opportunities. Germany's inconsistent form in recent matches or potential tactical missteps may reduce their goal-scoring chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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