In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Paraguay score 2 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Paraguay score less than 2 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Paraguay's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Paraguay's inconsistent form in recent matches
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 11:15:52 AM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Paraguay score 2 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Paraguay score less than 2 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Paraguay's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
17%
ORYN Consensus
15%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Paraguay scoring over 1.5 goals against Germany in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match has a low probability of 17.50%, indicating strong market skepticism toward Paraguay's offensive capability. Historical performance and team dynamics heavily favor Germany, reducing the likelihood of Paraguay achieving the required threshold.
Paraguay could exceed expectations by capitalizing on Germany's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly if Germany's backline struggles with pace or if Paraguay's counterattacking style disrupts their rhythm. A strong individual performance from Paraguay's striker or midfield creativity could also push the total over 1.5 goals. Unforced errors by Germany's defense might create high-quality chances for Paraguay.
Germany's dominant possession and high pressing likely suppress Paraguay's scoring opportunities, with Paraguay rarely threatening the goal. Germany's defensive record and attacking firepower make it improbable for Paraguay to score twice in open play, especially given their recent form. Paraguay's reliance on set-pieces may not suffice without clinical finishing.
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Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 16.5% while ORYN AI estimates 15%.
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