In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leon Goretzka records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Leon Goretzka records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Leon Goretzka in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Leon Goretzka is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:46:43 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leon Goretzka records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Leon Goretzka records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Leon Goretzka in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Leon Goretzka is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Leon Goretzka recording 2+ shots in Germany vs. Paraguay at the FIFA World Cup is evenly balanced, with a 50% probability reflecting uncertainty about his involvement and tactical role in the match.
Goretzka could record 2+ shots if deployed in an advanced midfield role, given his attacking tendencies at Bayern Munich. Germany's high possession style may create multiple shooting opportunities for him.
Goretzka might register ≤1.5 shots if benched, limited to defensive duties, or substituted early. Paraguay's defensive structure could further suppress his shot attempts.
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Leon Goretzka: 2+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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