In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joshua Kimmich records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Joshua Kimmich records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Joshua Kimmich in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Joshua Kimmich is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Kimmich
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:46:24 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joshua Kimmich records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Joshua Kimmich records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Joshua Kimmich in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Joshua Kimmich is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Joshua Kimmich recording 1+ shots in Germany's FIFA World Cup game against Paraguay on June 29 is evenly split, reflecting uncertainty about his expected performance. The market's 50% probability suggests no clear consensus on whether he will surpass the threshold of 0.5 shots.
Kimmich may exceed expectations due to Germany's attacking style, his role as a midfielder in a high-possession system, or Paraguay's defensive vulnerabilities. If Germany dominates possession, Kimmich could take multiple shots on goal or attempt long-range efforts, increasing the likelihood of clearing the 0.5-shot threshold.
Kimmich may underperform due to tactical instructions prioritizing defensive duties, Paraguay's disciplined defensive structure, or his role in deeper midfield positions. Additionally, if Germany relies on wing play or set pieces, his shot count could remain low, failing to clear the threshold.
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Joshua Kimmich: 1+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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