In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: match cancellation or postponement altering resolution terms
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:31:36 AM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.4
Opportunity
0.4
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for a 3-3 draw in the Germany vs. Paraguay FIFA World Cup match on June 29, 2026, has an extremely low probability of 1.00%. Historical data and team dynamics strongly suggest this outcome is highly unlikely.
Germany and Paraguay could both score three goals due to Paraguay's attacking prowess and Germany's defensive vulnerabilities, especially if Paraguay plays an aggressive, high-tempo style. A tactical error or defensive collapse by either team could lead to a high-scoring draw. External factors like referee leniency or unusual weather conditions might also contribute.
Neither team has a strong recent history of high-scoring draws, with Germany typically favoring controlled possession and Paraguay often struggling against organized defenses. Defensive reinforcements or tactical adjustments could suppress goals, making a 3-3 draw improbable. Historical World Cup match data also shows low frequency of 3-3 results.
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Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 0.6% while ORYN AI estimates 1%.
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