Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or postponement altering resolution terms
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:31:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.3
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 30.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
7
Price history
55 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for a 3-3 draw in the Germany vs. Paraguay FIFA World Cup match on June 29, 2026, has an extremely low probability of 1.00%. Historical data and team dynamics strongly suggest this outcome is highly unlikely.
Germany and Paraguay could both score three goals due to Paraguay's attacking prowess and Germany's defensive vulnerabilities, especially if Paraguay plays an aggressive, high-tempo style. A tactical error or defensive collapse by either team could lead to a high-scoring draw. External factors like referee leniency or unusual weather conditions might also contribute.
Neither team has a strong recent history of high-scoring draws, with Germany typically favoring controlled possession and Paraguay often struggling against organized defenses. Defensive reinforcements or tactical adjustments could suppress goals, making a 3-3 draw improbable. Historical World Cup match data also shows low frequency of 3-3 results.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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