Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match postponement or cancellation due to external factors (e.g., weather, logistical issues)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:45:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
9%
ORYN Consensus
9%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,296
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 6-12
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Germany and Paraguay, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Germany vs. Paraguay match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?' at the 2026 FIFA World Cup shows an 8.50% probability of a 1-1 draw. This suggests low market confidence in a tied outcome between Germany and Paraguay.
Germany, historically a strong football nation, may underperform due to recent form or tactical shifts, while Paraguay could capitalize on counterattacking opportunities to secure a draw. A tightly contested match with balanced play could lead to a 1-1 result.
Germany's dominance in possession and attacking play may overwhelm Paraguay, resulting in a higher-scoring draw or a Germany win, reducing the likelihood of a 1-1 outcome. Paraguay's defensive frailties could also lead to a lopsided scoreline.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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