Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to key French attackers pre-match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:15:18 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
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Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 46-52
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Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If France score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on France's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for France to score 2.5+ goals against Sweden in their FIFA World Cup match has a near-even split (49.50%) between over and under outcomes, indicating high uncertainty. France's offensive strength is balanced by Sweden's defensive resilience, making this a close-call scenario.
France's high-octane attack, led by Mbappé and Griezmann, has historically averaged 2.8 goals per game in World Cup matches. Sweden's defensive vulnerabilities in recent fixtures (conceding 1.5+ goals per game) further support the over outcome. A motivated French side could exploit Sweden's backline.
Sweden's disciplined defensive structure (averaging 0.8 goals conceded per game in World Cup 2022) and recent clean sheets against top-tier opponents (e.g., 0-0 vs. Netherlands) reduce the likelihood of a high-scoring game. France's inconsistent form in tight matches (e.g., 1-0 vs. Denmark) may cap goals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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