Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key French players pre-match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:15:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
90%
ORYN Consensus
90%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,490,349
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 86-92
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Sweden" if Sweden is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
France is overwhelmingly favored (89.5%) to advance over Sweden in the upcoming FIFA World Cup match. Historical performance, squad depth, and tournament experience heavily favor the French side.
France's bullish outlook hinges on their star-studded squad, including elite attackers like Mbappé and Griezmann, and a resilient defense. Their recent form in major tournaments (2018 World Cup winners, 2022 finalists) and strong group-stage performances suggest dominance against Sweden.
Sweden's bearish case relies on tactical discipline, set-piece efficiency, and potential underdog resilience. If France's attack stalls or defensive vulnerabilities emerge, Sweden could exploit transitions or penalties to pull off an upset. Historical upsets in World Cup knockout stages (e.g., 2018 Sweden vs. Switzerland) add uncertainty.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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