Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution reducing Gyökeres' playing time
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:47:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
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| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,921,984
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Gyökeres records more than 4.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Viktor Gyökeres records 4.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Viktor Gyökeres in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Viktor Gyökeres is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Viktor Gyökeres recording 5+ shots in the France vs. Sweden World Cup match has a neutral probability of 50%, reflecting balanced expectations. The outcome hinges on Gyökeres' role in Sweden's attack and France's defensive structure.
Gyökeres could exceed 4.5 shots if Sweden adopts an aggressive attacking strategy, exploiting France's defensive vulnerabilities. A high-pressure game with Sweden needing goals may increase his shot attempts, particularly if he starts as a lone striker.
France's disciplined defense, ranked among the world's best, may limit Gyökeres to fewer than 5 shots. If Sweden sits deep or Gyökeres is substituted early, his shot count could fall short of the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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