Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Olise's playing time
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:46:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,015,505
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise records more than 1.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Michael Olise records 1.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Michael Olise in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Michael Olise is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Michael Olise recording 2+ shots in France vs. Sweden at the FIFA World Cup has a 50% probability, indicating an uncertain outcome with no clear advantage. The resolution hinges on Olise's performance in the first 90 minutes, excluding extra time or penalties.
Olise could outperform expectations due to his creative playmaking and attacking tendencies, increasing his shot count. France's attacking style and Sweden's defensive vulnerabilities may create more opportunities for Olise to take shots.
Olise may struggle to get into scoring positions if France's midfield is dominated by Sweden or if Olise is not a primary target in set-pieces. Defensive pressure from Sweden could limit his shot opportunities, resulting in fewer than 2 shots.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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