Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution removing Koné from the game
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:47:22 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
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| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,921,634
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manu Koné records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Manu Koné records 3.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Manu Koné in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Manu Koné is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Manu Koné recording 4+ shots in the France vs. Sweden FIFA World Cup match has an even 50% probability, reflecting balanced expectations. The outcome hinges on Koné's role in France's attacking strategy and Sweden's defensive structure.
Koné's high energy and technical ability as a midfielder could lead to frequent forward runs and shot attempts, especially if France dominates possession. A weakened Swedish defense or tactical setup favoring wide play may also increase his shot opportunities.
If Sweden employs a compact defensive block or Koné is assigned deeper midfield duties, his shot count may remain limited to 3 or fewer. Injuries or tactical substitutions could further reduce his playing time or involvement in attacks.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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