Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Koné's playing time
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:47:16 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,921,634
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manu Koné records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Manu Koné records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Manu Koné in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Manu Koné is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Manu Koné recording 3+ shots in the France vs. Sweden FIFA World Cup match is currently at 50%, indicating a neutral outlook with no clear bias toward either outcome. The probability reflects equal chances of Koné exceeding or not exceeding the 2.5-shot threshold, given his role as a midfielder and France's tactical setup.
Koné could exceed 2.5 shots if France employs an attacking strategy with frequent crosses or long-range attempts, increasing his shot opportunities. His ability to drive forward from midfield or capitalize on counterattacks may also elevate his shot count. France's possession-based play could create high-pressure situations where Koné attempts speculative shots.
As a midfielder, Koné may prioritize defensive duties or playmaking over shooting, limiting his shot attempts. Sweden's defensive structure could suppress France's attacking outlets, reducing Koné's opportunities. If France dominates possession without creating clear chances, Koné may struggle to accumulate 3+ shots.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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