Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Akliouche's playing time
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:00:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
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| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 42% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
31%
ORYN Consensus
35%
Signal Score
+4.0
Opportunity
3.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,816,401
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 400.0¢
Entry: 28-34
—
Resolution
12h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Maghnes Akliouche records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Maghnes Akliouche records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Maghnes Akliouche in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Maghnes Akliouche is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Maghnes Akliouche recording 3+ shots in France vs. Sweden (World Cup, June 30) stands at 35%, indicating moderate skepticism about his shot volume. Akliouche's role as a creative midfielder or winger could drive his shot attempts, but Sweden's defensive structure may limit opportunities.
Akliouche, a dynamic attacker, could exploit Sweden's defensive gaps, particularly if deployed in a high-pressing role or as a creative outlet. France's attacking depth and set-piece situations may provide additional shot opportunities, especially if Akliouche is a key playmaker in transitions.
Sweden's disciplined defensive system may stifle Akliouche's shot attempts, particularly if he plays in a deeper midfield role. Limited game time or tactical substitutions could further reduce his shot volume, especially if France dominates possession without needing his creativity.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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