Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/30/2026, 5:30:16 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
83%
ORYN Consensus
83%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,803,083
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 80-86
—
Resolution
13h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if France and Sweden combine to score 1 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 1 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market strongly favors an Over outcome (82.5%) for the combined second-half goals in the France vs. Sweden World Cup match, indicating high confidence in scoring during this period. The resolution is strictly tied to second-half regular play and stoppage time, excluding other match phases.
France’s attacking depth and Sweden’s occasional defensive lapses suggest a high likelihood of goals in the second half. Historical trends in World Cup matches often show increased scoring in the latter stages due to tactical adjustments or fatigue.
Both teams have disciplined defenses and may prioritize defensive solidity in a high-stakes knockout match, reducing second-half scoring opportunities. Low-scoring games in recent tournaments could reinforce this trend.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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