Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion limiting Gyökeres' playing time
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:46:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
-5.0
Opportunity
3.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,016,625
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -500.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Gyökeres records 3+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Viktor Gyökeres scoring 3+ goals in the France vs. Sweden FIFA World Cup match on June 30 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting a balanced outlook given his recent form and the defensive strengths of both teams. Historical data and player statistics suggest a low probability of such an outcome, but the market remains neutral due to uncertainty in match dynamics.
Gyökeres has shown strong form in recent matches, with a propensity for scoring in high-pressure situations. If Sweden's defense struggles against France's attacking midfield, Gyökeres could capitalize on counterattacks or set-piece opportunities to reach 3+ goals. A high-scoring game would also increase his chances of hitting the target.
Both France and Sweden boast elite defensive structures, with Sweden particularly disciplined under pressure. Gyökeres has limited recent goal-scoring records against top-tier defenses, and the likelihood of him scoring 3+ goals in such a tightly contested match is historically low. Additionally, his playing time or role in the match could be restricted.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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