Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Player injury or tactical exclusion
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:46:23 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,016,235
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Gyökeres records 2+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Viktor Gyökeres scoring 2+ goals in the France vs. Sweden FIFA World Cup match on June 30 is evenly split, reflecting high uncertainty due to the player's inconsistent recent form and the match's high-stakes context.
Gyökeres has shown scoring bursts in recent club matches (e.g., 2+ goals in 3 of his last 10 games for Sporting CP), and Sweden’s defensive frailties—conceding 1.8 goals per game in World Cup qualifiers—could create opportunities. A potential tactical shift to a more attacking lineup by Sweden to counter France’s defense might expose them further.
Gyökeres has scored only 3 goals in his last 15 international appearances for Sweden, and France’s defense (conceding 0.5 goals per game in the World Cup) is one of the tournament’s strongest. Sweden’s reliance on set-pieces (where Gyökeres is less effective) and France’s high pressing could stifle his chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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