Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Dembélé being listed as inactive or not playing, which resolves the market to 'No'.
AI updated 6/28/2026, 7:01:39 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,016,625
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ousmane Dembélé records more than 2.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ousmane Dembélé records 2.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Ousmane Dembélé in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Ousmane Dembélé in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ousmane Dembélé is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market assesses whether Ousmane Dembélé will record 3 or more combined goals and assists in the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between France and Sweden. The market is currently priced at a 50.00% probability for the 'Yes' outcome, indicating an even split in expectations for this high individual performance threshold.
A bull case hinges on Dembélé being in peak form, playing a central role in a dominant French offensive performance against a potentially vulnerable Swedish defense. If France scores multiple goals, Dembélé's direct involvement through assists or goals could rapidly accumulate, especially if he plays the full 90 minutes and is a primary creative outlet.
The bear case emphasizes the high threshold of 3+ combined goals and assists for a single player in an international match, which is an uncommon occurrence. Dembélé's typical G+A output might not reach this level, or other French attackers could be the primary contributors. A strong Swedish defense or an early substitution for Dembélé would also limit his opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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