Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution before/during the match
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:47:47 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,016,625
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé records more than 3.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Kylian Mbappé records 3.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Kylian Mbappé in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Kylian Mbappé in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Kylian Mbappé is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Kylian Mbappé recording 4+ combined goals and assists in France vs. Sweden (World Cup, June 30) is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting uncertainty about his performance given Sweden's defensive structure and France's tactical setup.
Mbappé's explosive pace and finishing ability could exploit Sweden's defensive gaps, especially if France dominates possession and creates high-quality chances. His assist record (1+ per game in recent tournaments) supports a bullish scenario if he sets up teammates effectively.
Sweden's disciplined defensive system (avg. 0.8 goals conceded per game in qualifiers) and France's reliance on Griezmann/Mbappé in transition may limit his involvement. Fatigue or tactical adjustments (e.g., deeper positioning) could reduce his goal/assist output.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.