Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to key Spanish attackers before kickoff
AI updated 6/29/2026, 9:30:37 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
38%
ORYN Consensus
37%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,489,914
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 34-40
—
Resolution
3d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Spain score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Spain score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Spain's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 37% chance that Spain will score 3 or more goals against Austria in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match, favoring the 'Under' outcome. Spain's historical attacking strength suggests potential for higher scores, but Austria's defensive record may limit Spain's offensive output.
Spain's high-scoring attacking style, led by players like Rodri and Morata, increases the likelihood of surpassing 2.5 goals. Austria's defense has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 matches, making a 3-goal haul plausible.
Austria's recent defensive improvements and disciplined play could stifle Spain's attack. Spain's average goals scored per game in their last 5 matches is 2.2, slightly below the 3-goal threshold, reducing the 'Over' probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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