Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution removing Porro early
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:19:25 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,665,555
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Porro records more than 1.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Pedro Porro records 1.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Pedro Porro in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Pedro Porro is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Pedro Porro recording 2+ shots on target in Spain vs. Austria (FIFA World Cup, July 2) is at 50%, indicating a balanced outlook. The outcome hinges on Porro's role in attack and Austria's defensive structure.
Porro's pace and crossing ability could generate multiple shot opportunities, especially if Spain dominates possession. Austria's defense has conceded high xG in recent matches, increasing Porro's chances of converting chances into shots on target.
Austria's disciplined defensive setup may limit Porro's space, reducing his shot attempts. Spain's attack could be concentrated on other players (e.g., Morata, Rodri), leaving Porro with fewer opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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