Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Yamal's playing time
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:50:02 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
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| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,568,473
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal records more than 3.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Lamine Yamal records 3.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Lamine Yamal in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Lamine Yamal is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Lamine Yamal recording 4+ shots on target in Spain vs. Austria (July 2, 3:00 PM ET) is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty. The outcome hinges on Yamal's role in Spain's attack and Austria's defensive structure.
Yamal's pace and dribbling could exploit Austria's high defensive line, leading to frequent shots on target. Spain's possession-based style may create multiple clear chances for Yamal, especially if he starts centrally or as a false 9.
Austria's disciplined low block could limit Yamal's shooting opportunities, with Yamal possibly substituted early or shifted to a less attacking role. Defensive errors by Spain may not translate into shots on target for Yamal specifically.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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