Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Pedri's absence due to injury or tactical decision
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:15:54 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
47%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,569,678
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
18h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedri records more than 2.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Pedri records 2.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Pedri in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Pedri in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Pedri is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Pedri achieving 3+ combined goals and assists in Spain vs. Austria at the 2024 FIFA World Cup is trading at 46.5%, indicating skepticism about his direct impact in the match. Pedri's role as a creative midfielder suggests potential for assists, but goal-scoring is less likely, making the 3+ threshold challenging.
Pedri's high creativity and playmaking ability could yield multiple assists, particularly if Spain dominates possession and creates high-quality chances. Austria's defensive vulnerabilities may allow Pedri to exploit space, increasing his assist potential. A high-scoring game with Pedri involved in multiple buildup plays could push the combined total to 3+.
Pedri is not a prolific goal scorer, and his assist output may be limited if Spain's attacks are channeled through other players or if Austria's defense remains compact. Austria's tactical discipline could stifle Pedri's influence, reducing his chances of contributing to 3+ combined goals and assists. Early substitution or tactical adjustments could further limit his involvement.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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