Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:02:44 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,665,190
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marcel Sabitzer records more than 2.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Marcel Sabitzer records 2.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Marcel Sabitzer in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Marcel Sabitzer in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Marcel Sabitzer is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Marcel Sabitzer has a 50% chance to record 3+ combined goals and assists in Spain vs. Austria at the FIFA World Cup. His involvement depends on starting lineup status, tactical role, and opponent defensive structure.
Sabitzer could exceed 2.5 combined goals/assists if deployed as a creative midfielder or second striker, leveraging Austria's defensive vulnerabilities. High pressing intensity from Spain may force defensive errors, creating counterattacking opportunities for Sabitzer.
Sabitzer may underperform if benched or deployed in a deeper midfield role, limiting goal/assist chances. Austria's disciplined defensive structure and Spain's possession dominance could suppress his offensive contributions.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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