Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or fatigue limiting Williams' performance
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:15:40 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,569,678
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
18h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Williams records 3+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Nico Williams scoring 3+ goals in Spain vs. Austria (July 2, 2024) is highly unlikely, with a current probability of 2.55%. The odds reflect the rarity of a player scoring 3+ goals in a single FIFA World Cup match.
Nico Williams could score 3+ goals if Spain dominates Austria with a high-pressing, attacking strategy, exploiting defensive vulnerabilities. His pace and dribbling could create multiple goal-scoring opportunities. A favorable tactical setup or individual brilliance might also tilt the odds.
Historical data shows players rarely score 3+ goals in World Cup matches, with only 12 instances since 1966. Williams may struggle against Austria's disciplined defense, and Spain's tactical approach might not prioritize individual goal-scoring. Fatigue or tactical adjustments could further reduce his chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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