Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to a star player before the match
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:15:15 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
76%
ORYN Consensus
76%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,127,187
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 72-78
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market currently assigns a 75.50% probability to Spain winning their match on July 2, 2026, indicating strong market confidence in their victory. This assessment is based on current form, team strength, and historical performance metrics.
Spain enters the 2026 match with a highly skilled squad, strong recent performances, and tactical depth under their current manager. Their possession-based style and defensive resilience make them favorites against most opponents, particularly in high-stakes tournaments.
Spain faces potential challenges such as key player injuries, fatigue from a congested fixture schedule, or tactical mismatches against opponents with high-pressing systems. Historical underperformance in knockout stages against defensive teams could also weigh on outcomes.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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