Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Williams' inactivity or tactical exclusion
Calibrated 100% · raw 1200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:45:17 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
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| polymarket | — | — | Active |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
5%
ORYN Consensus
17%
Signal Score
+12.0
Opportunity
9.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1200.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
90 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Williams records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Nico Williams records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Nico Williams in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Nico Williams is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Nico Williams recording 1+ assists in the Spain vs. Austria FIFA World Cup match on July 2 has a low probability (17.30%), suggesting skepticism about his involvement in playmaking. The outcome hinges on his role in Spain's attack and match dynamics.
Nico Williams, a key winger for Spain, could deliver 1+ assists if he capitalizes on Austria's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly if Spain dominates possession and creates multiple crossing opportunities. His pace and technical ability make him a plausible playmaker in high-pressure scenarios.
Williams may be limited to no assists if Austria's defense effectively neutralizes Spain's attack, or if he is deployed in a less creative role (e.g., deeper or narrower position). Injuries, tactical decisions, or Austria's counterattacking strategy could further suppress his assist potential.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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