Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical omission
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:46:56 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,708
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harry Kane records more than 0.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Harry Kane records 0.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Harry Kane in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Harry Kane is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Harry Kane recording 1+ shots on target in England's World Cup match against DR Congo is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty about his performance. The outcome hinges on his role in the game and England's tactical approach.
Kane could record multiple shots on target if England dominates possession and creates high-quality chances, leveraging his positioning and finishing ability. England's attacking depth and DR Congo's defensive vulnerabilities may facilitate this outcome.
Kane may record fewer shots on target if England deploys a defensive strategy or DR Congo's compact defense neutralizes his influence. Fatigue or tactical adjustments could also limit his opportunities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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