Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion pre-match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 6:47:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,708
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jude Bellingham records more than 4.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Jude Bellingham records 4.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Jude Bellingham in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Jude Bellingham is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market on Jude Bellingham recording 5+ shots in England's FIFA World Cup match against DR Congo is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited statistical precedent for Bellingham in this specific context.
Bellingham has a strong track record of high shot volume in elite competitions (e.g., La Liga, Champions League). England's attacking style and DR Congo's defensive vulnerabilities may create frequent shooting opportunities, increasing the likelihood of Bellingham exceeding 4.5 shots.
DR Congo's defensive structure may prioritize compactness, limiting Bellingham's shot attempts. Bellingham's role as a deep-lying midfielder or box-to-box player could reduce his direct shot contributions compared to a pure striker, lowering the probability of 5+ shots.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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