Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Bukayo Saka being listed as inactive or not playing, leading to a 'No' resolution
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:02:04 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,469,708
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bukayo Saka records more than 4.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Bukayo Saka records 4.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Bukayo Saka in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Bukayo Saka is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This prediction market assesses whether Bukayo Saka will record 5 or more shots in the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between England and DR Congo. The current market probability stands at 50.00%, indicating a balanced perception of the likelihood of this specific player statistic occurring. The market resolves to 'No' if Saka is inactive or does not play.
Saka, as a primary attacking threat for England, is expected to be central to offensive plays, especially against a potentially weaker opponent like DR Congo. If England dominates possession and creates numerous scoring opportunities, Saka's tendency to cut in and shoot, coupled with potential set-piece involvement, could easily lead to 5+ shots. A high-scoring game for England would likely boost his individual shot count.
DR Congo might adopt a deep defensive strategy, making it difficult for England to penetrate and create clear shooting chances, thus limiting Saka's opportunities. Saka could also be substituted early if England secures a comfortable lead, or if the tactical flow of the game does not favor his attacking contributions. Furthermore, an off-day or a focus on creating for teammates could keep his shot count below 5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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