Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:48:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,168,484
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ollie Watkins records 3+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ollie Watkins scoring 3+ goals in England's World Cup match against DR Congo is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to Watkins' inconsistent scoring record and DR Congo's defensive resilience.
Watkins has shown recent form with 2+ goals in multiple Premier League matches and could exploit DR Congo's defensive vulnerabilities, especially if England dominates possession and creates high-quality chances.
DR Congo's defensive structure is disciplined, and Watkins has only scored 3+ goals in a single Premier League match this season, making a hat-trick unlikely unless England dominates overwhelmingly.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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