Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Moghanloo
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:15:54 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
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| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV 5.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Egypt and IR Iran, scheduled for June 26 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shahriyar Moghanloo records 2+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Shahriyar Moghanloo scoring 2+ goals in Egypt vs. IR Iran at the FIFA World Cup has a low probability (2.95%), reflecting skepticism about his goal-scoring potential in the match. Historical performance and team dynamics suggest a low likelihood of this outcome.
Moghanloo could achieve 2+ goals if he is deployed as a focal striker in a high-pressing system, capitalizing on defensive vulnerabilities in Iran's backline. A potential tactical shift or injury to key Iranian defenders could increase his scoring opportunities.
Moghanloo's recent form and role in the team suggest he is unlikely to score multiple goals, as he may not start or play the full 90 minutes. Iran's defensive solidity and Egypt's attacking limitations further reduce the probability of this outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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