Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Resolution ambiguity
Calibrated 100% · raw 350% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 6:45:30 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
12%
ORYN Consensus
9%
Signal Score
-3.5
Opportunity
2.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -350.0¢
Entry: 9-15
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
17 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Cabo Verde and Saudi Arabia, scheduled for June 26 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Feras Al Brikan records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Feras Al Brikan scoring 1+ goals in the Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia World Cup match on June 26 has an 8.5% probability, indicating low market confidence in his goal-scoring potential. The outcome depends heavily on his inclusion in the starting lineup and match dynamics.
Al Brikan's inclusion in the starting lineup and strong form in recent matches (e.g., 2 goals in 5 appearances for Saudi Arabia in 2024) could drive a goal-scoring opportunity. Cabo Verde's defensive vulnerabilities and Saudi Arabia's attacking style may create chances for him.
If Al Brikan is not selected to play or is listed as inactive, the market resolves to
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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