Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions affecting key players
AI updated 7/2/2026, 6:03:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
78%
ORYN Consensus
78%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 74-80
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
6 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Colombia and Portugal combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors an Over 1.5 goals outcome in the Colombia vs. Portugal World Cup match with 77.5% probability, indicating strong market confidence in a high-scoring game. Historical head-to-head data and current team form support this bias.
Colombia's attacking prowess (led by James Rodríguez) and Portugal's high-scoring tendency (with players like Cristiano Ronaldo) suggest multiple goal opportunities. Recent World Cup trends favor offensive play, increasing the likelihood of 2+ goals.
Defensive solidity from either team (e.g., Colombia's compact midfield or Portugal's experienced backline) could suppress goals. Low-scoring World Cup matches (e.g., 2018 avg. 2.6 goals/game) or tactical conservatism may reduce the total below 2.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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