In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luis Díaz records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Luis Díaz records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Luis Díaz in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Luis Díaz is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Díaz's defensive responsibilities
Calibrated 100% · raw 2060% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 12:30:27 AM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luis Díaz records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Luis Díaz records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Luis Díaz in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Luis Díaz is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
97%
ORYN Consensus
76%
Signal Score
-20.6
Opportunity
15.2
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Luis Díaz has a 76.45% probability of recording 3+ shots in Colombia vs. Portugal at the FIFA World Cup. The high market probability suggests strong confidence in Díaz's attacking role and Colombia's offensive strategy.
Díaz is a prolific winger with a history of high shot volumes (avg. 3+ shots per game in recent tournaments). Colombia’s tactical setup under Néstor Lorenzo emphasizes wing play, increasing Díaz’s likelihood of creating and taking shots. Portugal’s defensive vulnerabilities (e.g., full-back exposure) further boost his chances.
Díaz may be tightly marked by Portugal’s defensive midfielders (e.g., João Neves, Rúben Neves), reducing his shot opportunities. Colombia’s recent matches show a reliance on counterattacks, limiting Díaz’s involvement in build-up play. Fatigue or tactical adjustments could subdue his offensive output.
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Luis Díaz: 3+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 97.1% while ORYN AI estimates 76.5%.
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