In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristiano Ronaldo records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Cristiano Ronaldo records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Cristiano Ronaldo in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Cristiano Ronaldo is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Ronaldo’s playing time
AI updated 6/26/2026, 9:16:42 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Portugal, scheduled for June 27 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristiano Ronaldo records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Cristiano Ronaldo records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Cristiano Ronaldo in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Cristiano Ronaldo is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Cristiano Ronaldo recording 3+ shots in the Colombia vs. Portugal World Cup match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to Ronaldo's age, recent form, and Portugal's tactical setup against Colombia's defensive structure.
Ronaldo may exceed 2.5 shots if Portugal dominates possession, forcing Colombia into deep defending, and if Ronaldo is deployed in a central or advanced role where he can attempt speculative long-range efforts or exploit counterattacks. His past performances in high-stakes matches suggest occasional bursts of activity.
Ronaldo’s shot count could be limited by tactical instructions to conserve energy, Colombia’s aggressive pressing, or a defensive midfield shield that restricts his movement into shooting positions. His recent age-related decline and reduced minutes in club football also lower expectations.
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Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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