Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:30:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,330,063
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -5.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Colombia and Ghana combine to score 9 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5' indicates a low probability (1.05%) of the combined total goals exceeding 8.5 in their FIFA World Cup match. This suggests strong market confidence in a low-scoring or defensive game.
Colombia's attacking prowess, led by James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz, could exploit Ghana's defensive vulnerabilities, especially in counterattacks. A high-pressing strategy or Ghana's potential fatigue from earlier matches might lead to multiple goals. Historical World Cup trends occasionally favor high-scoring upsets.
Both teams have historically struggled with defensive lapses, making a low-scoring game plausible. Colombia's recent form under Néstor Lorenzo emphasizes disciplined play, while Ghana's resilience could result in a tactical stalemate. Weather conditions or referee strictness may suppress goal-scoring.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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