Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury to key Ghanaian players pre-match
Calibrated 100% · raw 220% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 12:15:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+2.2
Opportunity
1.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,092,089
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 220.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ghana score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Ghana score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Ghana's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ghana scoring over 2.5 goals against Colombia in their upcoming FIFA World Cup match has a low probability (5.00%), reflecting strong expectations of Ghana's defensive struggle. Colombia, ranked 12th in FIFA rankings, is favored to dominate possession and scoring chances, while Ghana ranks 60th, suggesting a significant skill disparity.
Ghana could exceed expectations by capitalizing on counterattacks or set-piece opportunities, especially if Colombia's defense is vulnerable to pace or if Ghana's strikers convert chances efficiently. A high-scoring Ghanaian victory (e.g., 3-1 or 4-2) would trigger the 'Over' outcome, defying pre-match odds.
Colombia's attacking prowess, led by top-tier players like James Rodríguez, and Ghana's defensive frailties (conceding 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 matches) make the 'Under' outcome highly probable. A clean sheet for Colombia or a low-scoring Ghanaian defeat (e.g., 0-2 or 1-3) would resolve the market to 'Under'.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.