Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or suspension of key players before kickoff
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:45:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,073,931
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
5d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana, scheduled for July 3 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Colombia and Ghana combine to score 3 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 2.5' is evenly split at 50.00%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the combined first-half goals will exceed 2.5. The market reflects uncertainty due to the volatile nature of football (soccer) and the specific focus on the first half of play.
A bullish outcome (Over 2.5 goals) is plausible given Colombia's strong attacking lineup and Ghana's occasional defensive vulnerabilities. Historically, high-scoring first halves in World Cup matches (e.g., average of 2.1 goals in first halves for recent tournaments) slightly favor the Over scenario.
A bearish outcome (Under 2.5 goals) is supported by the defensive solidity of both teams in recent matches. Colombia has conceded only 2 goals in their last 5 World Cup games, while Ghana has kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5. Low-scoring first halves are common in World Cup encounters.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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