Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Aasgaard's playing time
Calibrated 100% · raw 2750% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:30:47 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
17%
ORYN Consensus
44%
Signal Score
+27.5
Opportunity
19.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,330,845
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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LOW
EV 2750.0¢
Entry: 14-20
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thelo Aasgaard records more than 4.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Thelo Aasgaard records 4.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Thelo Aasgaard in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Thelo Aasgaard is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Thelo Aasgaard recording 5+ shots in the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway FIFA World Cup match has a 44% probability of resolution as 'Yes'. The outcome depends on Aasgaard's individual performance, team dynamics, and match conditions.
Aasgaard may exceed 4.5 shots if Norway employs an aggressive attacking strategy, leveraging his role as a midfielder or forward to create high-volume shooting opportunities. Norway's recent form in the tournament, particularly in transition play, could increase his shot count. Additionally, Côte d'Ivoire's defensive vulnerabilities may force Norway into higher possession, indirectly boosting Aasgaard's chances for shots.
Aasgaard's shot count may remain below 4.5 if Norway prioritizes possession and control, limiting his direct involvement in shooting opportunities. Côte d'Ivoire's defensive structure, particularly in midfield, could disrupt Norway's attacking rhythm, reducing Aasgaard's shot attempts. Fatigue or tactical substitutions may also reduce his playing time or influence on the game.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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