Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion during the match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:30:40 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
22%
ORYN Consensus
23%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,330,845
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 19-25
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thelo Aasgaard records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Thelo Aasgaard records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Thelo Aasgaard in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Thelo Aasgaard is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Thelo Aasgaard recording 3+ shots in the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway FIFA World Cup match has a low probability of 23%, indicating skepticism about his shot volume. Market resolution hinges on official statistics within 90 minutes, excluding stoppage time or extra periods.
Aasgaard could exceed 2.5 shots if deployed as a high-pressing forward or winger, leveraging Norway's attacking tactics to create multiple shooting opportunities. His recent form in qualifying matches may suggest a higher likelihood of exceeding the threshold, especially if Norway dominates possession.
Aasgaard may record fewer than 2.5 shots if Norway adopts a defensive or counter-attacking strategy, limiting his involvement in offensive plays. Injuries, tactical substitutions, or poor form could further reduce his shot attempts during the match.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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