Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Diakité's playing time
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:49:13 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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|---|---|---|---|
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,816,071
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oumar Diakité records more than 2.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Oumar Diakité records 2.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Oumar Diakité in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Oumar Diakité is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Oumar Diakité recording 3+ shots in the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway FIFA World Cup match on June 30 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited player-specific data and match dynamics.
Diakité could exceed 2.5 shots if he starts the match and Côte d'Ivoire adopts an aggressive attacking strategy, leveraging his pace and positioning to create multiple shooting opportunities against a potentially defensive Norwegian side.
Diakité may record 2.5 shots or fewer if he is not a starter, the match is low-scoring, or Côte d'Ivoire's game plan focuses on possession rather than direct shooting, reducing individual shot volume for forwards.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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