Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Diakité
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:49:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 42% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,816,401
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Oumar Diakité records more than 1.5 shots on target within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Oumar Diakité records 1.5 shots on target or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots on target are counted only if credited to Oumar Diakité in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Oumar Diakité is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Oumar Diakité recording 2+ shots on target in the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway World Cup match is evenly balanced at 50%, reflecting uncertainty about his participation and performance. The outcome hinges on his inclusion in the starting lineup and his ability to generate shots on target under match conditions.
Diakité starts the match and plays a full 90 minutes, leveraging his technical ability and pace to create multiple shots on target. Côte d'Ivoire’s attacking strategy prioritizes crosses and through balls, increasing his opportunities to convert chances into shots on target.
Diakité is either omitted from the lineup or substituted early, limiting his chances to record shots on target. Norway’s defensive structure, featuring compact midfield lines, restricts his space to operate, reducing his shot attempts to fewer than 2.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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