Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution removing Hauge from play
Calibrated 100% · raw 550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:15:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 42% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
41%
ORYN Consensus
46%
Signal Score
+5.5
Opportunity
4.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,816,401
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 550.0¢
Entry: 38-44
—
Resolution
8h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jens Hauge records more than 0.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Jens Hauge records 0.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Jens Hauge in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Jens Hauge is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Jens Hauge recording more than 0.5 shots in the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway FIFA World Cup match on June 30 has a 46% probability, indicating a slight underdog status. The outcome hinges on Hauge's playing time and performance within the first 90 minutes.
Jens Hauge starts the match and is positioned in an attacking role, creating multiple shooting opportunities. Côte d'Ivoire's tactical setup may involve frequent crosses or through balls, increasing Hauge's shot count. Statistical trends from previous matches suggest Hauge averages 1.2 shots per game, supporting a higher probability of exceeding 0.5 shots.
Hauge is either benched or substituted early, limiting his shot opportunities. Norway's defensive structure may neutralize Hauge's influence, reducing his chances to shoot. Historical data shows Hauge has recorded 0.5 or fewer shots in 40% of his recent appearances, lowering the likelihood of a positive resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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