Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical substitution limiting Guessand's playing time
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:48:58 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
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ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,815,751
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
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MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Evann Guessand records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Evann Guessand records 3.5 shots or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Shots are counted only if credited to Evann Guessand in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Evann Guessand is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market on Evann Guessand recording 4+ shots in the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway FIFA World Cup match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to limited public data on Guessand's recent performance and match dynamics.
Guessand may exceed 3.5 shots if he starts the match and Norway's defense is vulnerable to counterattacks, particularly if Côte d'Ivoire dominates possession and creates high-quality chances. His recent club form (e.g., Ligue 1 appearances) could also support a higher shot count.
Guessand is unlikely to surpass 3.5 shots if he is not a starter, if Côte d'Ivoire's tactics prioritize defense, or if Norway's backline is disciplined and limits his shooting opportunities. Low possession or a tightly contested game would further reduce his shot potential.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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