Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Nusa's fitness or disciplinary issues
Calibrated 100% · raw 4550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 5:45:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
96%
Signal Score
+45.5
Opportunity
41.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4550.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
6 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Antonio Nusa records more than 0.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Antonio Nusa records 0.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Antonio Nusa in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Antonio Nusa in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Antonio Nusa is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Antonio Nusa recording 1+ combined goals and assists in Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway (June 30) is overwhelmingly bullish at 95.50%, reflecting high confidence in his impact. The resolution hinges on his participation and performance in the first 90 minutes, excluding extra time or penalties.
Nusa is a key attacking player for Côte d'Ivoire, with a history of contributing goals and assists in high-stakes matches. Norway's defense has shown vulnerabilities in recent games, increasing the likelihood of Nusa capitalizing on opportunities. His creative playstyle and positional flexibility make him a high-probability candidate for multi-contribution.
Nusa could be benched or substituted early, limiting his involvement in the match. Norway’s midfield and defensive structure may effectively neutralize his impact, reducing his chances of goals or assists. Injuries or tactical decisions by Côte d'Ivoire's coach could further restrict his playing time.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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