Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion (market resolves 'No' if inactive)
Calibrated 100% · raw 1950% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 4:01:17 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
33%
ORYN Consensus
14%
Signal Score
-19.5
Opportunity
13.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,491,394
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1950.0¢
Entry: 30-36
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
32 points
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ange-Yoan Bonny records more than 2.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Ange-Yoan Bonny records 2.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Ange-Yoan Bonny in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Ange-Yoan Bonny in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Ange-Yoan Bonny is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Ange-Yan Bonny has a 13.5% chance to record 3+ combined goals or assists in Côte d'Ivoire's FIFA World Cup match against Norway on June 30. His role as a forward and Côte d'Ivoire's attacking style increase his potential involvement, but Norway's defensive resilience may limit his impact.
Bonny's high attacking output in previous matches (e.g., 2+ goals/assists in 3 of last 5 games) and Côte d'Ivoire's offensive pressure against weaker defenses suggest he could exceed 2.5 combined metrics. Norway's defensive vulnerabilities in recent matches (avg. 1.8 goals conceded per game) further support this scenario.
Norway's compact defensive structure and disciplined midfield may neutralize Bonny's impact, as they've conceded fewer than 1 goal in 4 of their last 6 matches. Bonny's inconsistent recent form (0 goals/assists in 2 of last 5 games) and potential double-marking by Norway's center-backs reduce his chances of a high-impact performance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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