Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries or suspensions affecting key players
Calibrated 100% · raw 1050% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:15:45 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
40%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+10.5
Opportunity
6.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1050.0¢
Entry: 36-43
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming match between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Côte d'Ivoire" if Côte d'Ivoire are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Norway" if Norway are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Côte d'Ivoire to score first against Norway is evenly split at 50%, indicating high uncertainty. The match's outcome depends on early-game dynamics, team tactics, and individual player performance.
Côte d'Ivoire's attacking prowess, led by players like Sébastien Haller or emerging talents, could exploit Norway's defensive vulnerabilities early in the match. A high-pressing strategy or set-piece efficiency may give them the edge in the opening 90 minutes.
Norway's disciplined defensive structure and counter-attacking style could stifle Côte d'Ivoire's offensive threats, reducing their chances of scoring first. Fatigue or tactical missteps by Côte d'Ivoire's forwards might further diminish their scoring probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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