Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected injuries
AI updated 6/28/2026, 3:00:33 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
52%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,137,579
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 48-55
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Switzerland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Switzerland has a narrow majority probability (51.5%) to win the match on July 2, 2026, indicating a highly uncertain outcome. The prediction hinges on real-time performance rather than long-term trends, as the event is a single match.
Switzerland benefits from home advantage, strong recent form, and key player fitness, leading to a narrow victory. Historical performance in similar fixtures suggests a slight edge in high-pressure games.
Switzerland faces a formidable opponent with superior recent form and tactical discipline, increasing the risk of an upset. Recent injuries to key players could further weaken their chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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