In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Paquetá records more than 2.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Lucas Paquetá records 2.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Lucas Paquetá in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Lucas Paquetá in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Lucas Paquetá is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Key risk: Injury or tactical exclusion of Paquetá
AI updated 6/26/2026, 8:01:20 PM
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Paquetá records more than 2.5 combined goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Lucas Paquetá records 2.5 combined goals + assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Goals and assists are added together: each goal or each assist credited to Lucas Paquetá in the official match statistics adds one to the combined total. Combined goals + assists are counted only if credited to Lucas Paquetá in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Lucas Paquetá is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Lucas Paquetá recording 3+ combined goals and assists in Brazil vs. Japan (FIFA World Cup, June 29) is balanced at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to Paquetá's inconsistent recent form and Japan's defensive resilience. The outcome hinges on Paquetá's role in Brazil's attack and Japan's defensive vulnerabilities.
Paquetá could exceed 2.5 combined goals/assists if Brazil's midfield dominance and his creative positioning unlock Japan's defense, especially if he scores a goal and sets up another. Japan's defensive frailties in recent matches (e.g., conceded 3+ goals in 3 of last 5 games) increase the likelihood of Paquetá contributing significantly.
Paquetá's recent form is underwhelming (0 goals/assists in last 3 club matches, limited impact in Brazil's recent friendlies), and Japan's compact defensive structure (e.g., 5 clean sheets in last 8 games) may stifle his involvement. Additionally, Japan's counter-attacking threat could reduce Brazil's possession-based opportunities.
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Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals + assists is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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